What it do fam, I couldn’t leave the series incomplete with January, and since I’m sitting on over half a million matches going back ~5 years, I couldn’t leave that gap. Here’s what happened on SaltyBet in January 2026, by the numbers.
All data below covers January 1–31, 2026, from SaltyTrack’s database of over half a million matches.
| Stat | January 2026 |
|---|---|
| Total matches | 12,233 |
| Unique fighters seen | 7,393 |
| Total Salty Bucks wagered | $67.2 billion |
| Average pot | $5.5 million |
| Red wins | 6,083 (49.7%) |
| Blue wins | 6,150 (50.3%) |
| Matchmaking matches | 10,626 |
| Tournament matches | 1,607 |
| Crowd accuracy | 68.1% |
12,233 matches — a full month of data and our largest meta report sample to date. 7,393 unique fighters appeared across the month, confirming that SaltyBet’s 10,000+ roster gets deep rotation. Red vs Blue split at 49.7/50.3 — about as close to a perfect coinflip as you’ll ever see. My hunch is that it’ll always be like this but we’ll see…
The crowd picked winners at 68.1%, slightly above the all-time average of 67.9%. January was a marginally more predictable month than usual, though the difference is small enough to be noise.
| Tier | Matches | % of Jan | Upset Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| A | 5,143 | 42.0% | 33.8% |
| S | 3,895 | 31.8% | 30.4% |
| B | 2,634 | 21.5% | 31.8% |
| X | 306 | 2.5% | 25.2% |
| P | 255 | 2.1% | 25.1% |
A-tier continues to dominate the schedule at 42%, and continues to be the chaos tier with the highest upset rate at 33.8% — more than one in three favorites losing. This is consistent with the all-time A-tier upset rate of 34.3%, making it the most unpredictable tier month after month.
S-tier ran a 30.4% upset rate, slightly above average. B-tier was relatively calm by its standards at 31.8%. X and P-tier are low-volume but predictable — when the extremes of the roster meet, the expected outcome usually holds.
Three fighters went undefeated in January with 10+ matches — and they’re all names SaltyBet regulars know well.
| Fighter | Record | Win Rate | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Regular ass chizuru | 13-0 | 100.0% | S |
| Flawless specter | 11-0 | 100.0% | S |
| Ogre akuma | 10-0 | 100.0% | S |
| Louise f.b.valliere | 12-1 | 92.3% | S |
| Hibachi | 11-1 | 91.7% | S |
| Yuna | 11-1 | 91.7% | A |
| Drizzt do’urden | 10-1 | 90.9% | S |
| Kohaku iqs | 10-1 | 90.9% | S |
Regular ass chizuru posted a perfect 13-0, continuing the dominance that would extend into a 23-1 record through mid-March. There is nothing regular about this Chizuru, definitely a dominate fighter.
Flawless specter lived up to the name — 11-0 in S-tier with zero losses anywhere in our database. One of the undefeated fighters we’d later spotlight in our New Fighter Watch.
Ogre akuma went 10-0, outperforming a 69.6% all-time win rate by a massive 30 points. A truly elite January, and shoutout to my guy Akuma.
January’s upsets weren’t as dramatic as some months — no 100:1 shockers — but there were still some solid reversals.
| Upset Winner | Defeated | Odds | Tier | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mr.big EX3 | Mr funny | 46.5:1 | B | Jan 17 |
| Kaeru(chrono) | Gedoumiko | 22.9:1 | A | Jan 9 |
| Lou mvc | Syaraaaa! | 22.5:1 | S | Jan 1 |
| C3reimu | Usa-godzilla | 18.5:1 | S | Jan 3 |
| Geisya | Cody(neoneo) | 18.2:1 | A | Jan 6 |
Mr.big EX3 beating Mr funny at 46.5:1 in B-tier was the month’s biggest upset. The crowd put almost 98% of the money against Mr.big EX3 and got burned. In SaltyBet, names mean nothing and B-tier means anything can happen.
Fun fact: Lou mvc, January’s third-biggest upset artist, also ended up as one of the month’s worst overall performers at 2-8. Sometimes the underdog only has one great fight in them.
Fighters who significantly outperformed their all-time averages in January:
| Fighter | Jan Win Rate | All-Time Win Rate | Difference | Jan Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ogre akuma | 100.0% | 69.6% | +30.4pp | 10 |
| Psychociel | 90.0% | 60.2% | +29.8pp | 10 |
| Tantanmen | 80.0% | 50.9% | +29.1pp | 10 |
| Yukarin ex | 70.0% | 41.0% | +29.0pp | 10 |
| Alien metron | 70.0% | 43.8% | +26.2pp | 10 |
Ogre akuma’s 30-point jump stands out — a 69.6% all-time fighter going perfect for a full month is rare at any tier. Truly channeling the Akuma spirit. Tantanmen jumping from a coinflip 50.9% to 80% is the kind of hot streak that makes A-tier betting exciting.
Fighters who significantly underperformed their all-time averages:
| Fighter | Jan Win Rate | All-Time Win Rate | Difference | Jan Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chintao | 10.0% | 47.5% | -37.5pp | 10 |
| Braun | 9.1% | 45.2% | -36.1pp | 11 |
| Kyo brunestud | 30.0% | 62.3% | -32.3pp | 10 |
| Quality shinobi | 20.0% | 50.2% | -30.2pp | 10 |
| Matunaga yukari | 10.0% | 37.0% | -27.0pp | 10 |
Kyo brunestud falling from 62.3% to 30% is the biggest fall from grace here — a fighter who normally wins nearly two-thirds of the time suddenly lost seven out of ten. Braun had the roughest January of anyone, going 1-10 against a normally respectable 45.2% all-time average.
The fighters who struggled the most in January:
| Fighter | Record | Win Rate | All-Time Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Braun | 1-10 | 9.1% | 45.2% |
| Chintao | 1-9 | 10.0% | 47.5% |
| Matunaga yukari | 1-9 | 10.0% | 37.0% |
| Lihua | 2-10 | 16.7% | — |
| Lou mvc | 2-8 | 20.0% | — |
A rough month to be Braun or Chintao. Both fighters typically hover near 50% but spent January getting bodied. These cold streaks happen — SaltyBet’s matchmaking is random, and sometimes you draw the worst possible opponents for ten straight matches.
January 2026 was a solid, representative month for SaltyBet. The fundamentals held: A-tier remained the most chaotic, the crowd picked winners at roughly their all-time average, and the red/blue split was about as fair as it gets. The top of the roster continued to dominate — Regular ass chizuru, Flawless specter, and Hibachi all posted elite numbers that they’d carry into February and beyond.
If January told us anything, it’s that the SaltyBet meta is remarkably stable. The same tier dynamics, the same crowd accuracy patterns, the same unpredictability at the margins. What changes month to month are the individual stories — who runs hot, who runs cold, and which upsets nobody saw coming.
See you in the February meta report.
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