Welcome to the first SaltyBet Meta Report! This is a recurring series where we break down what happened on SaltyBet over the past month — who dominated, who got upset, where the money went, and how our predictions performed. Data-driven, no fluff. Let’s get into it.
| Stat | February 2026 |
|---|---|
| Total matches | 9,776 |
| Unique fighters seen | 7,036 |
| Total Salty Bucks wagered | $55.7 billion |
| Average pot | $5.7 million |
| Red wins | 4,843 (49.5%) |
| Blue wins | 4,933 (50.5%) |
7,036 unique fighters across 9,776 matches — that’s a 72% uniqueness ratio. SaltyBet’s roster rotation continues to be impressively deep. The majority of matches featured at least one fighter you hadn’t seen yet that month.
Blue edged out Red again this month, 50.5% to 49.5%. Nearly dead even, consistent with the all-time split (50.8% Blue). If your strategy is still “always bet Red”… it’s still not a strategy.
| Tier | Matches | % of Feb | Upset Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| A | 4,095 | 41.9% | 32.6% |
| S | 3,046 | 31.2% | 29.1% |
| B | 2,156 | 22.1% | 31.3% |
| X | 248 | 2.5% | 30.6% |
| P | 231 | 2.4% | 22.1% |
The tier distribution looks almost identical to the all-time averages. A-tier still runs the schedule at 42%, with the highest upset rate at 32.6% — roughly one in three favorites loses in A-tier.
P-tier was notably more predictable this month at 22.1% upset rate, below its all-time average of 24.5%. When potato tier is lopsided, it’s really lopsided. X-tier had a relatively high upset rate at 30.6% — championship tier was less of a sure thing than usual.
Spidermanu led the undefeated pack in February: 9-0 in S-tier. But the most impressive runs came from fighters with 10+ matches — Buroli and Natural Kain both went 11-1, a 91.7% win rate across a meaningful sample. Natural Kain sits at 88.2% win rate all-time across 194+ matches, so this is par for the course.
Undefeated (7+ matches):
| Fighter | Record | Tier |
|---|---|---|
| Spidermanu | 9-0 | S |
| Colonel.exe | 8-0 | A |
| Goku black ssr | 8-0 | S |
| Bloodbane | 7-0 | S |
| Heidern_ex | 7-0 | S |
Best with 10+ matches:
| Fighter | Record | Win Rate | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buroli | 11-1 | 91.7% | S |
| Natural kain | 11-1 | 91.7% | S |
| Kuuga | 10-1 | 90.9% | A |
| Asagi asagiri | 9-1 | 90.0% | A |
| Blake belladonna | 9-1 | 90.0% | A |
February’s upsets were tamer than the all-time records (no 428:1 Miduma moments), but there were still some crowd-burning results:
| Winner | Defeated | Odds Against | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kaio helmo | Buroli | 30:1 | S |
| Soulgen | Zoffy | 17:1 | A |
| Mizuchi-hell | E_justice | 17:1 | X |
| Koneko | D4 roll | 17:1 | S |
| Silver the hedgehog | G akiha nightmare | 16:1 | S |
Kaio helmo’s 30:1 upset over Buroli in S-tier was the month’s biggest — the crowd had nearly $1 million on Buroli and only $33,000 on Kaio helmo. That’s the kind of result that sends people straight to the salt mines. Ironic that Buroli also made the top performers list — 11-1 is a great month, but that one loss was spectacular.
An X-tier upset is always noteworthy: Mizuchi-hell taking down E_justice at 17:1 in the championship tier. X-tier had a 30.6% upset rate this month, higher than usual, so the championship tier was keeping bettors on their toes.
These were the matches where the Salty Bucks were flowing:
| Match | Pot | Tier | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| Filea vs Pocchi | $103.3M | P | Pocchi |
| Thanos mvc2 vs Mario 119 | $53.1M | S | Thanos mvc2 |
| Flash byakuren vs Chizuru98 | $47.9M | S | Flash byakuren |
| Regular ass chizuru vs Kagelogan EX7 | $47.4M | S | Regular ass chizuru |
| Lord slug vs Sheeva | $46.1M | B | Sheeva |
The biggest pot of the month — $103.3 million — happened in P-tier. Filea vs Pocchi. Potato tier. Over $100 million in virtual Salty Bucks. We don’t know why the crowd went this hard on a P-tier match, but we respect the commitment.
Some fighters went on impressive runs this month:
| Fighter | Best Streak |
|---|---|
| The world of arien | 100 |
| Ryousan gata patchouli | 76 |
| H_yujiro | 66 |
| Berserker EX | 49 |
| Honki-ultraman | 44 |
The world of arien hit a 100-win streak in February — the month’s longest run by a wide margin. Ryousan gata patchouli followed at 76, topping their previous all-time best. H_yujiro went 66 deep as well. These are perennial streak monsters, and February confirmed it.
Berserker EX with a 49-win streak is a name to watch. That’s a dominant run by any standard.
How did our model perform this month?
| Confidence | Accuracy | Matches |
|---|---|---|
| Lock | 99.2% | 129 |
| High | 83.6% | 2,932 |
| Medium | 68.5% | 4,290 |
| Low | 56.1% | 2,425 |
| Overall | 70.4% | 9,776 |
SaltyTrack: 70.4% vs Crowd: 69.1% — a 1.3-point edge this month.
Lock predictions hit 99.2% — one miss out of 129. The model continues to be nearly flawless when it’s most confident.
The Low confidence bucket at 56.1% is performing well above the coin-flip baseline. Even on the fights where the model is least certain, it’s finding signal.
For context, the crowd’s 69.1% accuracy this month is above the all-time average of 67.9%. The crowd was reading the meta better than usual, narrowing the gap — but our model still outperformed. The 1.3-point edge is tighter than our 90-day rolling average (4.1 points), partly because February’s crowd was sharper than normal and partly because A-tier — our hardest category — made up 42% of the schedule.
7,036 unique fighters appeared in 9,776 matches. That’s a 72% uniqueness ratio — meaning the vast majority of matches featured at least one fighter you hadn’t seen yet that month. This is what makes SaltyBet simultaneously fascinating and difficult to predict. The roster is so deep that familiarity with individual fighters only gets you so far. You need data.
Want these predictions working for you in real time? Install the SaltyTrack Chrome extension — free AI predictions, win rates, and head-to-head records right in the SaltyBet overlay. We beat the crowd again this month. Over thousands of bets, that edge adds up.
SaltyBet uses virtual currency only. No real money is wagered or exchanged. SaltyTrack is not affiliated with SaltyBet.