Mortal Kombat has been on a heater. Over the last two weeks, the franchise’s collective win rate climbed to 52.14%, up from 40.0% — a +12.1 percentage-point jump across 117 SaltyBet matches.[1] After months of living under the .500 line, the Lin Kuei and friends suddenly started winning.
But a franchise doesn’t move 12 points on vibes, and we love us some data — so we pulled every Mortal Kombat fighter to find out who actually dragged the average up. The short version: a cluster of red-hot climbers led by Reptile mk2, Jax mk2, and Kenshi did the heavy lifting, the reliable Raidens kept quietly winning like they always do, and a pile of low-win Sub-Zeros and Scorpions kept trying to drag everyone back down.[2] Let’s get into it. FIGHT!
Here’s the honest part first, because we’d rather be straight with you than sell you a dynasty. A 12-point swing over 117 matches and two weeks is a bump, not a movement. Small samples wobble, and a franchise this size regresses hard toward its mean.
Our own local database — a slightly different slice than the live production feed — tells the same directional story in a calmer voice: Mortal Kombat went 44.2% in the recent window (43 matches) versus 39.4% before it (109 matches),[2] and sits at 41.0% over the last 45 days across 251 matches.[2] So yes, MK is climbing. No, it has not become an S-tier juggernaut. It’s a below-average franchise having a good couple of weeks — fun to watch, dangerous to bet the farm on. For funzies only, as always. :)
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| MK fighters classified | 88[2] |
| Recent 14-day win rate (production) | 52.14%[1] |
| Prior win rate (production) | 40.0%[1] |
| The jump | +12.1 pts, 117 matches[1] |
| Last-45-day win rate (local) | 41.0% (251 matches)[2] |
For context, when we ran this same franchise analysis on JoJo’s Bizarre Adventure, that roster landed at basically a coin flip — right on the 50% baseline.[2] Mortal Kombat, even after its hot streak, is still running below that. MK is a big, uneven roster of 88 classified fighters,[2] and that unevenness is the whole story: when a roster this wide has a good fortnight, it’s almost never the whole team improving. It’s a few fighters catching fire at once.
These are the Mortal Kombat fighters running hot over the last ~45 days. The “recent” column is a small sample — treat it as a streak, not a new baseline — but the pattern is unmistakable: the climb has names on it.
| Fighter | Lifetime | Recent (~45d) | Career Matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reptile mk2 | 60.3% | 87.5% | 116 |
| Jax mk2 | 34.2% | 83.3% | 155 |
| Kenshi | 36.4% | 83.3% | 187 |
| Black frost | 64.2% | 75.0% | 173 |
| Smoke umk3 | 41.1% | 75.0% | 129 |
| Sub-zero EX | 25.1% | 60.0% | 175 |
Reptile mk2 is the hottest name in the franchise right now at 87.5% recently — and unlike the others, he was already a career winner (60.3% lifetime over 116 matches),[2] so this is a good fighter getting even hotter. The wild ones are Jax mk2 and Kenshi: both are career losers — 34.2% and 36.4% lifetime — suddenly winning 83.3% of their recent bouts.[2] That’s a hot streak sitting on top of an underwater career, which is the definition of a stat that will not last. Enjoy Kenshi telepathically bisecting the roster while it does.
Even Sub-zero EX, a career 25.1% fighter, has bounced to 60% lately.[2] When your basement-dwellers start winning coin flips, the whole franchise average lifts off the floor — for a while.
Here’s the part that doesn’t make headlines: some Mortal Kombat fighters have been quietly dominating this whole time, bump or no bump. The Raidens win.
| Fighter | Win Rate | Career Matches |
|---|---|---|
| Johnny cage mk2 | 70.4% | 98 |
| Noob saibot mk2 | 69.7% | 132 |
| Raiden 512e1 | 69.4% | 229 |
| Sonya kmb | 67.7% | 195 |
| Noob-smoke mk1 | 67.4% | 172 |
| Goro daimon | 64.8% | 233 |
Raiden 512e1 is the anchor of Mortal Kombat’s respectability at 69.4% across 229 matches[2] — a big, battle-tested sample, not a two-week fluke. Right there with him: Johnny cage mk2 (70.4%), Noob saibot mk2 (69.7%), Sonya kmb (67.7%), and Goro daimon (64.8% across a hefty 233 matches).[2] These are the fighters you actually want to see on the MK side of the card. They didn’t cause the recent climb — they were already good — but they’re why Mortal Kombat isn’t a total basement franchise. If you’ve ever spent time on the channel, you already know to respect a Raiden.
Every franchise average has its dead weight, and Mortal Kombat’s is concentrated in exactly the characters you’d assume were stars. The single worst-performing established MK fighter is Sub-zero umk3 at 10.7% across 75 matches[2] — one of the most iconic ninjas in fighting-game history, losing nine of every ten in the salt mines.
| Fighter | Win Rate | Career Matches |
|---|---|---|
| Sub-zero umk3 | 10.7% | 75 |
| Kitana umk3 | 20.7% | 116 |
| Liu-kang | 24.0% | 183 |
Add a handful of Scorpion variants hovering around 30%[2] and you’ve got the ballast that keeps the whole franchise underwater. It’s a recurring MUGEN joke: the name on the box means nothing. As we found in our look at why some MUGEN characters always win, a famous label tells you nothing about the build behind it. Nowhere is that clearer than the Sub-Zero situation — one Sub-Zero (EX) is climbing while another (umk3) is frozen at 10.7%. We broke the ninja rivalry down variant by variant in Scorpion vs Sub-Zero across every build, and the lesson carries straight over: in SaltyBet MUGEN, the Raidens win and half the Sub-Zeros lose.
Bet the fighter, not the franchise. “Mortal Kombat is hot” is a headline, not a strategy — the roster’s real win rate runs from Raiden 512e1’s 69.4% down to Sub-zero umk3’s 10.7%,[2] and knowing which MK fighter is on the card beats any two-week trend line. The +12-point bump is mostly a few hot streaks stacked on top of each other, and streaks cool off. Watch the Raidens, respect Reptile mk2, and stay skeptical of anyone claiming the whole franchise “turned a corner.” Data’s for funzies only. :)
Why did Mortal Kombat’s win rate jump in SaltyBet?
Over the trailing two weeks, Mortal Kombat’s collective win rate rose from 40.0% to 52.14% across 117 matches in SaltyTrack’s production data — a +12.1 point bump. It was driven mostly by a handful of hot fighters (Reptile mk2, Jax mk2, Kenshi) rather than a broad roster improvement. It’s a small-sample streak, not a permanent shift.
Who is the best Mortal Kombat fighter in SaltyBet?
By lifetime win rate, Johnny cage mk2 (70.4%) and Raiden 512e1 (69.4% across 229 matches) lead the franchise, with Noob saibot mk2, Sonya kmb, and Goro daimon close behind. Raiden 512e1’s 229-match sample makes it the most battle-tested of the group.
Who is the worst Mortal Kombat fighter in SaltyBet?
Sub-zero umk3 has the lowest win rate of any established MK fighter at just 10.7% across 75 matches, followed by Kitana umk3 (20.7%) and Liu-kang (24.0%). Several Scorpion variants also sit around 30%.
Should you bet on Mortal Kombat fighters?
There’s no franchise-wide edge — MK’s overall win rate is still below 50% even after its recent climb. The edge comes from the specific fighter: the roster ranges from about 10% to 70% win rate, so which MK character is in the match matters far more than the Mortal Kombat label. As always, SaltyBet is virtual currency for fun only.
Watching an MK match and not sure whether you’re looking at a Raiden or a doomed Sub-zero umk3? The SaltyTrack Chrome Extension shows that exact fighter’s win rate, head-to-head history, and our live AI prediction right on the SaltyBet Twitch channel. Free, no account needed — and it knows the difference between the Sub-Zero that wins and the four that don’t.
SaltyBet uses virtual currency only. No real money is wagered or exchanged. SaltyTrack is not affiliated with SaltyBet.